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Question

How does buy-and-hold compare to active strategies?

Direct comparison of buy-and-hold reports (SPY, BTC) against active rule-based strategies in the catalog.

Short answer

Direct comparison of 5 strategies across the curated case set. Scores span from 53 to 75 / 100.

Side-by-side comparison

StrategyAssetScoreWCDD₉₅Median return5th-percentile
Buy and Hold S&P 500SPY54.0 / 10058%-8.9%-55.7%
Buy and Hold BitcoinBTC52.5 / 10056%2.1%-53.9%
RSI with SMA 200 Trend FilterSPY75.3 / 1007%0.0%-4.8%
MACD Signal Line CrossoverSPY54.7 / 10016%-0.4%-13.9%
SMA 200 CrossoverSPY53.8 / 10019%0.0%-12.9%

Scores are V2 per-FM-bucket composites under the same curated case set. Comparisons reflect behaviour on this fixed set; not a recommendation between strategies.

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Data is sourced from the curated case set: 31 empirical anchors + 32 synthetic stress probes across 9 score buckets, V2 per-FM-bucket scoring with a-priori augmentation. See /methodology.

Programmatic access: POST /api/v1/agent/analyze · GET /api/v1/catalog/query · see /interop.